Judicial Power and Independence

Week 4

Dr Michal Ovádek

Who cares about courts?

  • it is commonly assumed that court rulings must be complied with and followed by affected actors in virtually all constitutional systems

  • but what are the sources of this judicial power? why and when does anyone listen to courts?

Concept of judicial power

  • following Staton and Moore (2011), we can usefully identify two pillars of judicial power:

    • autonomy – or independence in a strict sense – or the extent to which judges’ decisions reflect their true preferences as opposed to someone else’s

    • effectiveness – or compliance – or the extent to which courts can compel actors to comply with adverse decisions

Concept of judicial power

The two dimensions of judicial power
High Effectiveness Low Effectiveness
High Autonomy Powerful Court Ignorable Court
Low Autonomy Puppet Court Joke Court

Judicial power in comparative perspective

Judicial power in comparative perspective

Why give courts power?

  • at the most abstract level the creation and maintenance of a powerful judiciary has been argued to be about credible commitments

  • by empowering actors (i.e. courts) outside their direct and immediate control, governments signal willingness to be bound by constitutional rules (e.g. respecting property rights) (North and Weingast 1989)

    • in the international context, governments signal commitment to jointly negotiated rules (e.g. treaties)

Why empower courts in autocracies?

  • authoritarian regimes want to keep low-level corruption in check

  • courts can share the blame for unpopular policies (Ginsburg and Moustafa 2008)

  • independent enforcement of property rights as a credible commitment to investors

  • courts are useful for controlling opposition movements

  • courts can provide regime-friendly interpretations of the law, including the constitution

Insurance theory of court power

  • empowering courts comes at a cost to executives and legislators

  • courts are more stable than governments – empowering courts can insure incumbents against loss of power (Finkel 2005)

    • powerful courts can make it harder to change policy direction

    • they can also help protect former leaders and their assets

1994 judicial reform in Mexico

  • after winning elections in 1994 president Ernesto Zedillo decided to make the Mexican judiciary more independent and powerful – why?

  • Finkel (2005) explains this counterintuitive move as a form of insurance policy

    • the ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party was losing support and anticipated loss of power

    • the reform gave the Mexican Supreme Court more power to circumscribe (federal and state) government policy

1994 judicial reform in Mexico

Ernesto Zedillo during his presidency

What makes judges autonomous?

  • judicial independence is the single most important attribute associated with modern judiciaries

  • yet there is disagreement on the precise content of this concept

  • independence to do what? independence from what or whom?

Judicial independence

the degree to which judges actually decide cases in accordance with their own determinations of the evidence, the law and justice, free from the coercion, blandishments, interference, or threats from governmental authorities or private citizens. (Rosenn 1987, 8)

What is(n’t) judicial independence

  • can a judge be independent when the judiciary as a whole isn’t?

  • does “dependence” on another judge’s or court’s decision undermine judicial independence?

What is(n’t) judicial independence

  • what about anticipatory judicial behaviour?

    • a court may self-censor if it knows the government is likely to override its decision
  • free from “governmental authorities or private citizens”

  • rulings based on “own determinations of … the law” vs “the law”

De jure vs de facto independence

  • many scholars distinguish between “paper” or institutional guarantees of independence and what happens in practice (Melton and Ginsburg 2014; Hayo and Voigt 2007)

  • the most common de jure guarantees are:

    • commitment to judicial independence, life tenure, depoliticized selection procedure, constrained removal procedure, salary non-regression

De jure vs de facto independence

  • there is mixed evidence on the importance of de jure guarantees of independence on de facto levels

    • Melton and Ginsburg (2014) find de jure independence to matter little in the aggregate

    • Hayo and Voigt (2007) find de jure independence to be the most important predictor of de facto independence

  • Stiansen (2022) shows that removing re-appointment opportunities made ECtHR judges more likely to rule against the country which nominated them

De jure vs de facto independence

  • there is doubt whether judicial autonomy can be measured in isolation due to anticipation effects

  • Harvey (2022) suggests to focus on contextualizing de facto independence

    • e.g. ruling-party incentives to intervene can vary based on circumstances

Judicial independence in Francoist Spain

  • Toharia (1975) documents that in the authoritarian Spain of the 1970s, judges held diverse opinions different from the regime

  • ordinary judges were by and large insulated from threat of removal or punishment by the government

  • however, the regime interfered with independence in politically sensitive cases by creating and staffing a host of special tribunals

Judicial independence in Francoist Spain

General Franco ruled Spain until 1975

Public support as a source of judicial power

  • one reason why courts’ autonomy and effectiveness can be high is public support (Carrubba and Zorn 2010)

  • in general, people hold courts in high regard (Vanberg 2015)

  • attacking courts and non-compliance is usually politically costly

How can courts increase their power?

  • new courts consolidate power by not antagonizing the government for an initial period

  • expand jurisdiction through broad interpretation of access rules and legal domains

  • a common strategy is to first create the power-expanding principle without applying it in the initial case to mitigate costs of compliance

References

Carrubba, Clifford J., and Christopher Zorn. 2010. “Executive Discretion, Judicial Decision Making, and Separation of Powers in the United States.” The Journal of Politics 72 (3): 812–24. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381610000186.
Finkel, Jodi. 2005. “Judicial Reform as Insurance Policy: Mexico in the 1990s.” Latin American Politics and Society 47 (1): 87–113. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1548-2456.2005.tb00302.x.
Ginsburg, Tom, and Tamir Moustafa. 2008. Rule by Law: The Politics of Courts in Authoritarian Regimes. Cambridge University Press.
Harvey, Cole J. 2022. “Can Courts in Nondemocracies Deter Election Fraud? De Jure Judicial Independence, Political Competition, and Election Integrity.” American Political Science Review 116 (4): 1325–39. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055422000090.
Hayo, Bernd, and Stefan Voigt. 2007. “Explaining de Facto Judicial Independence.” International Review of Law and Economics 27 (3): 269–90. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irle.2007.07.004.
Hendley, Kathryn. 2022. “Legal Dualism as a Framework for Analyzing the Role of Law Under Authoritarianism.” Annual Review of Law and Social Science 18 (Volume 18, 2022): 211–26. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-lawsocsci-050420-104012.
Linzer, Drew A., and Jeffrey K. Staton. 2015. “A Global Measure of Judicial Independence, 1948-2012.” Journal of Law and Courts 3 (2): 223–56. https://doi.org/10.1086/682150.
Melton, James, and Tom Ginsburg. 2014. “Does De Jure Judicial Independence Really Matter?: A Reevaluation of Explanations for Judicial Independence.” Journal of Law and Courts 2 (2): 187–217. https://doi.org/10.1086/676999.
Mishler, William, and Reginald S. Sheehan. 1993. “The Supreme Court as a Countermajoritarian Institution? The Impact of Public Opinion on Supreme Court Decisions.” American Political Science Review 87 (1): 87–101. https://doi.org/10.2307/2938958.
North, Douglass C., and Barry R. Weingast. 1989. “Constitutions and Commitment: The Evolution of Institutions Governing Public Choice in Seventeenth-Century England.” The Journal of Economic History 49 (4): 803–32. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2122739.
Rosenn, Keith S. 1987. “The Protection of Judicial Independence in Latin America.” University of Miami Inter-American Law Review 19 (1): 1–36. https://heinonline.org/HOL/P?h=hein.journals/unmialr19&i=9.
Staton, Jeffrey K., and Will H. Moore. 2011. “Judicial Power in Domestic and International Politics.” International Organization 65 (03): 553–87. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818311000130.
Stiansen, Øyvind. 2022. “(Non)renewable Terms and Judicial Independence in the European Court of Human Rights.” The Journal of Politics 84 (2): 992–1006. https://doi.org/10.1086/715253.
Toharia, José J. 1975. “Judicial Independence in an Authoritarian Regime: The Case of Contemporary Spain.” Law & Society Review 9 (3): 475–96. https://doi.org/10.2307/3053168.
Vanberg, Georg. 2015. “Constitutional Courts in Comparative Perspective: A Theoretical Assessment.” Annual Review of Political Science 18 (1): 167–85. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-040113-161150.